If we believe the exit polls, probably a significant
proportion of the 52% who voted "leave" in June 2016 have died now. It was the Boomers+ who mainly voted to leave. Well, I must point out I'm a 66 year-old Boomer-Remainer
and know very few Brexiteers even amongst my age group. Just so we're clear about who I am. I buck the trend a little. I guess that's down
to the circles I move in: people who speak other languages, academics, writers
and people who sing in choirs.
The polls also tell us that many young people who are now
old enough to vote would vote Remain.
How far are we now between 48% and 52%?
A referendum differs anyway from an election. If an election
came out with that split, the opinions of the 48% are still represented by the
MPs who sit in parliament. Stupid decisions can be reversed. The referendum is
an irreversible yes or no on a single issue and it strikes me as foolhardy to
make such a dramatic change on such a narrow margin. It screams "find a third way". My suggestion is stay in the EU but address
all of the problems the Leavers perceived. Some of these, of course, were totally
unfounded; there is no £350,000,000 a week available for the NHS, we always did
have sovereignty and the NHS actually benefits because of immigrants. I have already written about similar issues elsewhere
on this blog.
A lot of people who live, work and pay taxes here weren't
allowed to vote. The world hasn't got this right yet. In my opinion, expats should be allowed to
vote either in their country of residence, in the country where they pay taxes
or the country where they were born, or split their voting rights proportionally
across these places. I have similar concerns about taxation. Yes, there are reciprocal agreements so you can
choose to be taxed where you are domiciled yet we rage against the multinationals
that choose not to be domiciled in our country. I actually think I should pay a little tax to
the US. Their fire-fighters would put out the fires in the Amazon offices and
thereby protect my interests. Again, it should be proportional and I should get
the same proportion of voting rights. Maybe I'd have even had a little say in
the latest presidential elections. Goodness, if such an international law
existed, the US might have had a female president. Now add those who live and work here but
couldn't vote to the 48% - is it already 50 / 50?
There are those who have changed their mind, those who were having
a go at Cameron, those who did not realise that we need our current - or June
2016 - level of net migration to support our welfare state. It does not
undermine it. Are we already 51 / 49?
Then there are those who believed the lies. Okay so that old
joke: how can you tell when a politician is lying – his mouth is moving. "It's
normal," some say. "We were duped. Our bad luck." Well we all have
to learn how to understand critically what a politician says for even if s/he
tries to talk without bias he / she will have a bias. The lies this time though
were blatant and huge and the consequences of the decision taken as a result life-changing
and irreversible. 52/48?
There is a little light, and I think social media helped. Madam
May tried to bring into effect something akin to the Enabling Act that gave
Hitler a lot of power. At least our MPS
had the guts to throw this one out.
I hope they will also have the guts to stand up to May or
any other Tory – and in fact Cameron was the first to bring this up – who tries
to tinker with Human Rights. And that is one of the most worrying aspects of losing
the protection of EU laws and the European court.
Let's hope that they know what is right and will have the
guts to act on that. They have been democratically elected to look after our best
interests.
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